Experts Dismiss US Accusations against Iran

Written by  Published by:Shiite News
Published in Iran
Saturday, 15 October 2011


shiitenews iran amrica flagThe United States alleges that Mexico helped foil an alleged Iranian plot to blow up the Saudi ambassador to Washington aided by Mexican drug cartel hitmen, but experts have cast doubt on the purported local terror tie-in.
Some Mexican cartels do have the military capacity to plan an international hit, experts said.

"If someone were to demonstrate involvement of Mexican extremist elements it would be on an individual basis and not as a cartel, because attacking the United States runs counter to their objectives," Reveles stressed.
Raul Benitez, an analyst at a North American affairs think tank at the National Autonomous University, agreed.
"What they (the cartels) want to do is make their sales in secret and make their money, not go around doing odd jobs," Benitez said.
US Attorney General Eric Holder said the suspect in the alleged plot to kill the Saudi diplomat was arrested on Sept 29 on returning from Mexico after meeting there with an undercover US agent posing as a member of a Mexican drug cartel.
The US Justice Department charged that Mansor Arbabsiar, a 56-year-old dual Iranian-US citizen, and Gholam Shakuri, who it alleged to be a member of Iran's Islamic Revolution Guards Corps, conspired to kill ambassador Adel al-Jubeir with a bomb in a restaurant.
Patricia DeGennaro from the Department of Politics at New York University said Washington's allegations lack documented evidence.
"This is a pretty big claim, and we have not seen anything to support the allegations other than the complaint in the FBI office," she told Russia Today.
This US administration seems to be much more intent on pressuring the Iranian government, DeGennaro argued. Calling the US claims "highly provocative", she insisted that diplomatic means should be used to influence Iran.
"Military action? We tend to use it way too much," DeGennaro said. "I think there are different diplomatic opportunities here in supporting efforts within a country and also within a government."
Meantime, a former US intelligence analyst also dismissed the US accusations against Iran as "phony".
Speaking to BBC World Tuesday night, Former CIA analyst Robert Baer, who spent 21 years working as a CIA case officer in the Middle East, said the US may have gotten it dangerously wrong.
He said the plot may not at all be driven by the Iranian government and the US administration must now open a direct diplomatic channel with the Iranian government to calm tensions.
Baer said it is not credible that the Iranian government is behind the plot.
"There may be a rogue element behind it. This doesn't fit their modus operandi at all. It's completely out of character; they're much better than this," he said.
"They wouldn't be sending money through an American bank; they wouldn't be going to the cartels in Mexico to do this.
"It's just not the way they work. I've followed them for 30 years and they're much more careful. They always use a proxy between them and the operation, how come they didn't do this in this case."
Baer said he would not be surprised if the US administration back-tracked from its accusation in order to avoid its ramifications.
Iran quickly countered the allegations, saying that Washington is desperate to distract attention from its severe economic problems and spreading "awakening" among American citizens manifested in the Occupy Wall Street protests.
In an official complaint sent to United Nations Chief Ban Ki-Moon late Tuesday, Iran rejected the new allegations, blaming them on "the current US warmongering and propaganda machine against Iran," which yielded an "evil plot" to "divert attention" from American problems at home.
Analysts believe that the United States' new puppet show can help the White House to start a new wave of security measures across the US ... to better clamp down on Wall Street protests which have overwhelmed the country.

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But they have not shown great expertise on the explosives front, and they would not likely be keen to court US wrath which would only end up hurting their sales of illegal drugs to US citizens, experts said.
"That sounds a lot more like the plot of a soap opera, or a good movie," said Jose Reveles, an expert on Mexico's cartels.
"If someone were to demonstrate involvement of Mexican extremist elements it would be on an individual basis and not as a cartel, because attacking the United States runs counter to their objectives," Reveles stressed.
Raul Benitez, an analyst at a North American affairs think tank at the National Autonomous University, agreed.
"What they (the cartels) want to do is make their sales in secret and make their money, not go around doing odd jobs," Benitez said.
US Attorney General Eric Holder said the suspect in the alleged plot to kill the Saudi diplomat was arrested on Sept 29 on returning from Mexico after meeting there with an undercover US agent posing as a member of a Mexican drug cartel.
The US Justice Department charged that Mansor Arbabsiar, a 56-year-old dual Iranian-US citizen, and Gholam Shakuri, who it alleged to be a member of Iran's Islamic Revolution Guards Corps, conspired to kill ambassador Adel al-Jubeir with a bomb in a restaurant.
Patricia DeGennaro from the Department of Politics at New York University said Washington's allegations lack documented evidence.
"This is a pretty big claim, and we have not seen anything to support the allegations other than the complaint in the FBI office," she told Russia Today.
This US administration seems to be much more intent on pressuring the Iranian government, DeGennaro argued. Calling the US claims "highly provocative", she insisted that diplomatic means should be used to influence Iran.
"Military action? We tend to use it way too much," DeGennaro said. "I think there are different diplomatic opportunities here in supporting efforts within a country and also within a government."
Meantime, a former US intelligence analyst also dismissed the US accusations against Iran as "phony".
Speaking to BBC World Tuesday night, Former CIA analyst Robert Baer, who spent 21 years working as a CIA case officer in the Middle East, said the US may have gotten it dangerously wrong.
He said the plot may not at all be driven by the Iranian government and the US administration must now open a direct diplomatic channel with the Iranian government to calm tensions.
Baer said it is not credible that the Iranian government is behind the plot.
"There may be a rogue element behind it. This doesn't fit their modus operandi at all. It's completely out of character; they're much better than this," he said.
"They wouldn't be sending money through an American bank; they wouldn't be going to the cartels in Mexico to do this.
"It's just not the way they work. I've followed them for 30 years and they're much more careful. They always use a proxy between them and the operation, how come they didn't do this in this case."
Baer said he would not be surprised if the US administration back-tracked from its accusation in order to avoid its ramifications.
Iran quickly countered the allegations, saying that Washington is desperate to distract attention from its severe economic problems and spreading "awakening" among American citizens manifested in the Occupy Wall Street protests.
In an official complaint sent to United Nations Chief Ban Ki-Moon late Tuesday, Iran rejected the new allegations, blaming them on "the current US warmongering and propaganda machine against Iran," which yielded an "evil plot" to "divert attention" from American problems at home.
Analysts believe that the United States' new puppet show can help the White House to start a new wave of security measures across the US ... to better clamp down on Wall Street protests which have overwhelmed the country.

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